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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 24 August 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 27
  4. 31
  5. 34
  6. 42
  7. 5
  8. 7

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 344 of 4,856 under them

← 2011-08-23All recent draws2011-08-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 27 31 34 42 + 5 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 August 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum65th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

1441times
1532times
2746times
3137times
34

Prize breakdown · 2011-08-24

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€722.5Kto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€177.5K
  • 419%€140.5K
  • 344%€315.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€88.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.35 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

43times
4243times

Every number was expected about that many times after 343 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 15, 27, 34) with the draw of 16 February 2010 — its closest relative in 343 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 29% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 August 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.2 by chance
€59,168
  • 568≈ 85 by chance€1,305
  • 44,190≈ 4.7k by chance€33.54
  • 378,916≈ 86k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,190 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€59,168
    568€1,305
    44,190€33.54
    378,916€4.00
    R0€0.50