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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 15 August 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 20
  3. 24
  4. 27
  5. 42
  6. 47
  7. 8
  8. 12

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 338 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-08-12All recent draws2011-08-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 20 24 27 42 47 + 8 1229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

1745times
2048times
2448times
2745times
42

Prize breakdown · 2011-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€397.9Kto 48k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€94.6K
  • 419%€74.9K
  • 346%€181.0K
  • 1 other tier12%€47.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.20 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

42times
4738times

Every number was expected about that many times after 337 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (20, 24, 27) with the draw of 22 March 2011 — its closest relative in 337 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 August 2011): 47 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

177

The numbers add up to 177 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 2.4 by chance
€31,541
  • 528≈ 49 by chance€1,690
  • 42,263≈ 2.7k by chance€33.10
  • 345,261≈ 49k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,263 winners, 16% fewer than the 2.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€31,541
    528€1,690
    42,263€33.10
    345,261€4.00
    R0€0.50