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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 27 July 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 21
  3. 23
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 7
  8. 14

Jackpot€312,223

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 328 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-07-26All recent draws2011-07-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 21 23 30 31 40 + 7 1429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

78oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 78 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

844times
2149times
2340times
3046times
31

Prize breakdown · 2011-07-27

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€831.0Kto 94k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€207.2K
  • 420%€164.0K
  • 343%€356.1K
  • 1 other tier12%€103.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.39 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

34times
4047times

Every number was expected about that many times after 327 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 30, 31) with the draw of 11 October 2010 — its closest relative in 327 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

153

The numbers add up to 153 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.7 by chance
€103,619
  • 578≈ 96 by chance€1,328
  • 44,805≈ 5.3k by chance€34.14
  • 389,027≈ 97k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,805 winners, 9% fewer than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€103,619
    578€1,328
    44,805€34.14
    389,027€4.00
    R0€0.50