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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 22 July 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 24
  3. 32
  4. 38
  5. 43
  6. 46
  7. 7
  8. 16

Jackpot€1,936,886

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 325 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-07-20All recent draws2011-07-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 24 32 38 43 46 + 7 1629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

2045times
2444times
3252times
3842times
43

Prize breakdown · 2011-07-22

  • Lines in play≈ 6.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 119k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.50

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€274.3K
  • 420%€217.2K
  • 342%€450.3K
  • 1 other tier13%€137.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.50 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
4636times

Every number was expected about that many times after 324 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (32, 43, 46) with the draw of 17 November 2010 — its closest relative in 324 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

203

The numbers add up to 203 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
6≈ 5.9 by chance
€45,724
  • 5123≈ 122 by chance€1,115
  • 46,322≈ 6.7k by chance€34.35
  • 3112,584≈ 122k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 112,584 winners, 8% fewer than the 122k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C6€45,724
    5123€1,115
    46,322€34.35
    3112,584€4.00
    R0€0.50