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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 16 May 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 21
  5. 27
  6. 45
  7. 8
  8. 18

Jackpot€747,366

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 286 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-05-13All recent draws2011-05-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 10 21 27 45 + 8 1829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

626times
839times
1048times
2142times
27

Prize breakdown · 2011-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 6.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.0Mto 111k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.46

Where the money went

  • 656%€1.1M
  • 5+C10%€204.4K
  • 321%€418.5K
  • 2 other tiers13%€264.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.46 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

39times
4533times

Every number was expected about that many times after 285 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 10, 27, 45) with the draw of 13 April 2010 — its closest relative in 285 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 25% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2011): 8, 45 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,130,599
  • 5+C1≈ 5.5 by chance€204,391
  • 5121≈ 113 by chance€845
  • 45,775≈ 6.2k by chance€28.02
  • 3104,624≈ 114k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 104,624 winners, 8% fewer than the 114k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,130,599
    5+C1€204,391
    5121€845
    45,775€28.02
    3104,624€4.00
    R0€0.50