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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 2 May 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 10
  3. 15
  4. 20
  5. 21
  6. 24
  7. 4
  8. 5

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 278 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-04-29All recent draws2011-05-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 10 15 20 21 24 + 4 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 May 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd48th
  • low99th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

328times
1045times
1528times
2040times
21

Prize breakdown · 2011-05-02

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€629.4Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C21%€129.6K
  • 416%€102.6K
  • 353%€332.3K
  • 1 other tier10%€64.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

41times
2435times

Every number was expected about that many times after 277 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 10, 21, 24) with the draw of 7 March 2011 — its closest relative in 277 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 April 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.4 by chance
€64,807
  • 582≈ 90 by chance€790
  • 44,809≈ 5.0k by chance€21.34
  • 383,080≈ 90k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 83,080 winners, 8% fewer than the 90k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€64,807
    582€790
    44,809€21.34
    383,080€4.00
    R0€0.50