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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 25 March 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 26
  2. 30
  3. 35
  4. 36
  5. 40
  6. 42
  7. 3
  8. 9

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 257 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-03-23All recent draws2011-03-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed26 30 35 36 40 42 + 3 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 March 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

13oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 13 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd5th
  • low0th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

2631times
3035times
3528times
3629times
40

Prize breakdown · 2011-03-25

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€866.8Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C27%€232.1K
  • 421%€183.8K
  • 339%€334.9K
  • 1 other tier13%€116.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

37times
4234times

Every number was expected about that many times after 256 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (26, 35, 42) with the draw of 4 October 2010 — its closest relative in 256 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 March 2011): 26 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

209

The numbers add up to 209 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.4 by chance
€116,068
  • 582≈ 91 by chance€1,415
  • 44,381≈ 5.0k by chance€41.95
  • 383,714≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,381 winners, 12% fewer than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€116,068
    582€1,415
    44,381€41.95
    383,714€4.00
    R0€0.50