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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 14 March 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 14
  3. 40
  4. 42
  5. 43
  6. 49
  7. 7
  8. 8

Jackpot€1,260,681

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 250 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-03-11All recent draws2011-03-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 14 40 42 43 49 + 7 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 March 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1126times
1429times
4036times
4231times
43

Prize breakdown · 2011-03-14

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€962.4Kto 107k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.45

Where the money went

  • 538%€363.9K
  • 420%€192.1K
  • 342%€406.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.45 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
4946times

Every number was expected about that many times after 249 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (40, 43, 49) with the draw of 3 November 2010 — its closest relative in 249 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 March 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

199

The numbers add up to 199 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 5.4 by chance
no winners
  • 598≈ 110 by chance€3,713
  • 45,319≈ 6.1k by chance€36.11
  • 3101,617≈ 110k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,319 winners, 12% fewer than the 6.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    598€3,713
    45,319€36.11
    3101,617€4.00
    R0€0.50