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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 9 March 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 24
  3. 39
  4. 41
  5. 44
  6. 49
  7. 5
  8. 40

Jackpot€363,493

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 248 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-03-08All recent draws2011-03-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 24 39 41 44 49 + 5 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 March 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1428times
2431times
3939times
4129times
44

Prize breakdown · 2011-03-09

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€714.9Kto 94k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 61lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.41

Where the money went

  • 5+C31%€221.8K
  • 516%€110.9K
  • 352%€375.3K
  • 1 other tier1.0%€7.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.41 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

35times
4945times

Every number was expected about that many times after 247 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 24, 39) with the draw of 27 December 2010 — its closest relative in 247 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 March 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

211

The numbers add up to 211 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 5.0 by chance
€73,919
  • 5110≈ 102 by chance€1,008
  • 4198≈ 5.6k by chance€35.25
  • 393,817≈ 102k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 198 winners, 96% fewer than the 5.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€73,919
    5110€1,008
    4198€35.25
    393,817€4.00
    R0€0.50