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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 7 March 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 10
  4. 21
  5. 24
  6. 44
  7. 7
  8. 31

Jackpot€407,682

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 246 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-03-04All recent draws2011-03-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 10 21 24 44 + 7 3129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 March 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

121times
323times
1041times
2138times
24

Prize breakdown · 2011-03-07

  • Lines in play≈ 6.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 115k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.48

Where the money went

  • 647%€778.6K
  • 5+C12%€197.8K
  • 326%€434.9K
  • 2 other tiers15%€255.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.48 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

30times
4434times

Every number was expected about that many times after 245 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 24, 44) with the draw of 23 February 2011 — its closest relative in 245 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 March 2011): 21, 24 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

103

The numbers add up to 103 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€778,647
  • 5+C1≈ 5.7 by chance€197,848
  • 5106≈ 118 by chance€933
  • 45,948≈ 6.5k by chance€26.33
  • 3108,731≈ 118k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,948 winners, 8% fewer than the 6.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€778,647
    5+C1€197,848
    5106€933
    45,948€26.33
    3108,731€4.00
    R0€0.50