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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 25 February 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 12
  3. 23
  4. 29
  5. 42
  6. 49
  7. 6
  8. 30

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 241 of 4,855 under them

← 2011-02-23All recent draws2011-02-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 12 23 29 42 49 + 6 3029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 February 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

923times
1222times
2328times
2927times
42

Prize breakdown · 2011-02-25

  • Lines in play≈ 6.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 109k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.46

Where the money went

  • 631%€412.0K
  • 5+C17%€219.7K
  • 331%€414.6K
  • 2 other tiers21%€283.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.46 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
4942times

Every number was expected about that many times after 240 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 42, 49) with the draw of 30 April 2010 — its closest relative in 240 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 February 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

164

The numbers add up to 164 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€205,998
  • 5+C4≈ 5.5 by chance€54,933
  • 581≈ 112 by chance€1,356
  • 45,130≈ 6.2k by chance€33.91
  • 3103,660≈ 113k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,130 winners, 17% fewer than the 6.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€205,998
    5+C4€54,933
    581€1,356
    45,130€33.91
    3103,660€4.00
    R0€0.50