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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 1 February 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 23
  4. 24
  5. 30
  6. 39
  7. 4
  8. 37

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 227 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-01-31All recent draws2011-02-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 23 24 30 39 + 4 3729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 February 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

225times
420times
2325times
2423times
30

Prize breakdown · 2011-02-01

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€828.9Kto 95k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€203.6K
  • 419%€161.2K
  • 344%€362.4K
  • 1 other tier12%€101.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.40 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
3935times

Every number was expected about that many times after 226 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 23, 24, 30) with the draw of 4 June 2010 — its closest relative in 226 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 January 2011): 2, 39 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.8 by chance
€67,857
  • 569≈ 98 by chance€1,475
  • 44,623≈ 5.4k by chance€34.86
  • 390,592≈ 98k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,623 winners, 14% fewer than the 5.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€67,857
    569€1,475
    44,623€34.86
    390,592€4.00
    R0€0.50