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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 28 January 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 30
  3. 31
  4. 41
  5. 47
  6. 49
  7. 2
  8. 8

Jackpot€3,294,797

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 225 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-01-26All recent draws2011-01-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 30 31 41 47 49 + 2 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 January 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

17oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 17 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd94th
  • low5th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

117times
3031times
3123times
4127times
47

Prize breakdown · 2011-01-28

  • Lines in play≈ 9.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.4Mto 162k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.68

Where the money went

  • 673%€4.0M
  • 5+C6.6%€357.0K
  • 311%€615.0K
  • 2 other tiers8.5%€461.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.68 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

24times
4939times

Every number was expected about that many times after 224 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (30, 31, 49) with the draw of 7 June 2010 — its closest relative in 224 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 January 2011): 47 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

199

The numbers add up to 199 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,964,215
  • 5+C3≈ 8.1 by chance€119,008
  • 5131≈ 166 by chance€1,363
  • 48,197≈ 9.2k by chance€34.48
  • 3153,749≈ 167k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 8,197 winners, 11% fewer than the 9.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€3,964,215
    5+C3€119,008
    5131€1,363
    48,197€34.48
    3153,749€4.00
    R0€0.50