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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 21 December 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 21
  3. 29
  4. 45
  5. 47
  6. 48
  7. 6
  8. 34

Jackpot€330,476

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 203 of 4,857 under them

← 2010-12-20All recent draws2010-12-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 21 29 45 47 48 + 6 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1519times
2130times
2918times
4523times
47

Prize breakdown · 2010-12-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.6Mto 99k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.41

Where the money went

  • 646%€713K
  • 520%€306K
  • 324%€374.7K
  • 1 other tier10%€161.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.41 by chance€712,995

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

20times
4826times

Every number was expected about that many times after 202 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (21, 45, 48) with the draw of 6 April 2010 — its closest relative in 202 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 December 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

205

The numbers add up to 205 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C0≈ 4.9 by chanceno winners
  • 577≈ 101 by chance€3,974
  • 44,751≈ 5.6k by chance€33.99
  • 393,685≈ 102k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,751 winners, 15% fewer than the 5.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€712,995
    5+C0€0.00
    577€3,974
    44,751€33.99
    393,685€4.00
    R0€0.50