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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 22 November 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 18
  3. 20
  4. 30
  5. 46
  6. 49
  7. 3
  8. 4

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 186 of 4,857 under them

← 2010-11-19All recent draws2010-11-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 18 20 30 46 49 + 3 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

1216times
1821times
2023times
3023times
46

Prize breakdown · 2010-11-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€729.9Kto 80k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C26%€186.2K
  • 420%€147.4K
  • 342%€303.3K
  • 1 other tier13%€93.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
4930times

Every number was expected about that many times after 185 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 18, 49) with the draw of 15 October 2010 — its closest relative in 185 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 November 2010): 46 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.0 by chance
€93,077
  • 556≈ 82 by chance€1,662
  • 43,810≈ 4.5k by chance€38.68
  • 375,822≈ 82k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,810 winners, 16% fewer than the 4.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€93,077
    556€1,662
    43,810€38.68
    375,822€4.00
    R0€0.50