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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 3 November 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 17
  3. 40
  4. 41
  5. 43
  6. 49
  7. 2
  8. 6

Jackpot€587,497

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 176 of 4,857 under them

← 2010-11-02All recent draws2010-11-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 17 40 41 43 49 + 2 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 November 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

719times
1725times
4026times
4123times
43

Prize breakdown · 2010-11-03

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.9Mto 113k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.47

Where the money went

  • 652%€996.7K
  • 5+C11%€218.3K
  • 322%€428.5K
  • 2 other tiers15%€282.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.47 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
4928times

Every number was expected about that many times after 175 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (40, 43, 49) with the draw of 25 August 2010 — its closest relative in 175 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 November 2010): 41, 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

197

The numbers add up to 197 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€996,717
  • 5+C2≈ 5.7 by chance€109,125
  • 582≈ 116 by chance€1,339
  • 45,950≈ 6.4k by chance€29.04
  • 3107,135≈ 116k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 107,135 winners, 8% fewer than the 116k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€996,717
    5+C2€109,125
    582€1,339
    45,950€29.04
    3107,135€4.00
    R0€0.50