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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 13 October 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 9
  4. 21
  5. 22
  6. 45
  7. 2
  8. 9

Jackpot€241,881

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 164 of 4,852 under them

← 2010-10-12All recent draws2010-10-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 9 21 22 45 + 2 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 October 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd94th
  • low94th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

113times
516times
919times
2127times
22

Prize breakdown · 2010-10-13

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 124k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.51

Where the money went

  • 640%€612.5K
  • 5+C13%€197.7K
  • 330%€466.1K
  • 2 other tiers17%€255.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.51 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
4519times

Every number was expected about that many times after 163 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 21, 45) with the draw of 31 May 2010 — its closest relative in 163 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2010): 1, 22 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

103

The numbers add up to 103 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€612,546
  • 5+C3≈ 6.2 by chance€65,896
  • 5116≈ 126 by chance€852
  • 46,881≈ 6.9k by chance€22.74
  • 3116,523≈ 127k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 116,523 winners, 8% fewer than the 127k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€612,546
    5+C3€65,896
    5116€852
    46,881€22.74
    3116,523€4.00
    R0€0.50