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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 11 August 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 26
  3. 27
  4. 28
  5. 38
  6. 49
  7. 6
  8. 12

Jackpot€336,799

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 128 of 4,855 under them

← 2010-08-10All recent draws2010-08-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 26 27 28 38 49 + 6 1229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

27oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum87th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

2016times
2615times
2724times
2814times
38

Prize breakdown · 2010-08-11

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€823.3Kto 90k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€209.0K
  • 420%€165.5K
  • 342%€344.4K
  • 1 other tier13%€104.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.38 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
4919times

Every number was expected about that many times after 127 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (26, 27, 38) with the draw of 30 June 2010 — its closest relative in 127 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 August 2010): 26 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

188

The numbers add up to 188 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27, 27–28. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.5 by chance
€104,500
  • 558≈ 93 by chance€1,802
  • 44,317≈ 5.1k by chance€38.33
  • 386,091≈ 93k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,317 winners, 16% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€104,500
    558€1,802
    44,317€38.33
    386,091€4.00
    R0€0.50