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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 9 August 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 25
  2. 26
  3. 37
  4. 39
  5. 41
  6. 49
  7. 5
  8. 19

Jackpot€407,917

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 126 of 4,855 under them

← 2010-08-06All recent draws2010-08-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed25 26 37 39 41 49 + 5 1929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 August 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd94th
  • low5th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

2518times
2613times
3715times
3918times
41

Prize breakdown · 2010-08-09

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.6Mto 90k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • 649%€785.8K
  • 5+C13%€201.6K
  • 321%€341.5K
  • 2 other tiers16%€260.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.38 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

16times
4918times

Every number was expected about that many times after 125 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (26, 39, 41) with the draw of 22 January 2010 — its closest relative in 125 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 August 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

217

The numbers add up to 217 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€785,828
  • 5+C3≈ 4.5 by chance€67,184
  • 574≈ 92 by chance€1,362
  • 44,533≈ 5.1k by chance€35.20
  • 385,371≈ 93k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,533 winners, 11% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€785,828
    5+C3€67,184
    574€1,362
    44,533€35.20
    385,371€4.00
    R0€0.50