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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 2 August 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 24
  5. 37
  6. 39
  7. 2
  8. 40

Jackpot€2,034,295

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 122 of 4,855 under them

← 2010-07-30All recent draws2010-08-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 15 24 37 39 + 2 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

818times
1113times
1512times
2414times
37

Prize breakdown · 2010-08-02

  • Lines in play≈ 7.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.5Mto 125k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 64 winnerschance said 0.52

Where the money went

  • 671%€2.5M
  • 5+C6.8%€238.7K
  • 314%€473.1K
  • 2 other tiers8.8%€308.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 64≈ 0.52 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

13times
3917times

Every number was expected about that many times after 121 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 15, 39) with the draw of 23 July 2010 — its closest relative in 121 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 July 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€620,447
  • 5+C4≈ 6.2 by chance€59,666
  • 5127≈ 128 by chance€940
  • 46,806≈ 7.0k by chance€27.76
  • 3118,272≈ 128k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 118,272 winners, 8% fewer than the 128k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    64€620,447
    5+C4€59,666
    5127€940
    46,806€27.76
    3118,272€4.00
    R0€0.50