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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 5 July 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 16
  3. 20
  4. 40
  5. 43
  6. 44
  7. 9
  8. 10

Jackpot€387,493

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 106 of 4,854 under them

← 2010-07-02All recent draws2010-07-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 16 20 40 43 44 + 9 1029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 July 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

411times
1614times
2014times
4018times
43

Prize breakdown · 2010-07-05

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€827.9Kto 91k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • 538%€316.3K
  • 420%€166.9K
  • 342%€344.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.38 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
4412times

Every number was expected about that many times after 105 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 40, 44) with the draw of 27 April 2010 — its closest relative in 105 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 July 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 4.5 by chance
no winners
  • 576≈ 93 by chance€4,162
  • 44,560≈ 5.1k by chance€36.61
  • 386,161≈ 94k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,560 winners, 11% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    576€4,162
    44,560€36.61
    386,161€4.00
    R0€0.50