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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 18 May 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 28
  3. 38
  4. 40
  5. 42
  6. 45
  7. 8
  8. 34

Jackpot€324,671

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 79 of 4,857 under them

← 2010-05-17All recent draws2010-05-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 28 38 40 42 45 + 8 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 May 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

158times
288times
389times
4015times
42

Prize breakdown · 2010-05-18

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€803.6Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C26%€205.6K
  • 420%€162.8K
  • 341%€332.4K
  • 1 other tier13%€102.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
4510times

Every number was expected about that many times after 78 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 38, 45) with the draw of 13 April 2010 — its closest relative in 78 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 May 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

208

The numbers add up to 208 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.4 by chance
€205,612
  • 584≈ 90 by chance€1,224
  • 44,050≈ 5.0k by chance€40.19
  • 383,104≈ 90k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,050 winners, 18% fewer than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€205,612
    584€1,224
    44,050€40.19
    383,104€4.00
    R0€0.50