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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 11 January 2010

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 21
  3. 22
  4. 26
  5. 27
  6. 45
  7. 8
  8. 38

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 6 of 4,854 under them

← 2010-01-08All recent draws2010-01-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 21 22 26 27 45 + 8 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

171time
211time
220times
260times
27

Prize breakdown · 2010-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€822.7Kto 101k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€192.1K
  • 418%€152.1K
  • 346%€382.4K
  • 1 other tier12%€96.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.42 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
450times

Every number was expected about that many times after 5 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 6 numbers (17) with the draw of 8 January 2010 — its closest relative in 5 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 January 2010): 17 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

158

The numbers add up to 158 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22, 26–27. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 5.0 by chance
€192,121
  • 588≈ 103 by chance€1,092
  • 45,028≈ 5.7k by chance€30.25
  • 395,605≈ 104k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,028 winners, 12% fewer than the 5.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€192,121
    588€1,092
    45,028€30.25
    395,605€4.00
    R0€0.50