Star 4

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 1 from 1–46 (an earlier era).

4times drawn · chance expected 3 +0.87σ

27draws waiting · a wait this long: 56% for any number

11.3average wait between appearances · chance says 46.0

20longest completed wait · 96% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 4 times in 120 draws against 2.6 expected, +0.87σ. Each draw is independent: after 27 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 4 times in 120 draws · average wait 11.3 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 27 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Too few completed waits to plot a distribution for this number alone.

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 4.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

No shared draws yet.

Never drawn alongside 45 of the other 45 numbers; chance expects about 45 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 46. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-08-16	9	1st	4
2025-07-16	20	1st	4
2025-05-07	5	1st	4
2025-04-19	—	1st	4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/46 tonight whatever it did last week.