Saturday, 19 July 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (37, 48, 49) with the draw of 1 February 2025 — its closest relative in 74 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 July 2025): 15 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 209 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 67% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.