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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Set for Life · draw

Tuesday, 17 October 2023

ResultSet for Life

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 11
  4. 20
  5. 36
  6. 38
  7. 40
  8. 10
  9. 21

JackpotA$4,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules7/44 + 2/44 · since Mar 2020draw 1,304 of 2,406 under them

← 2023-10-16All recent draws2023-10-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 11 20 36 38 40 + 10 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum42th
  • odd3th
  • low65th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours16th
  • spread73th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

2225times
4224times
11236times
20196times
36

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-17

  • Lines in play≈ 1.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$2.4Mto 36k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 45lines took a prize
  • 11 winnerchance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • 183%A$2M
  • 74.7%A$112K
  • 88.7%A$208.2K
  • 4 other tiers3.2%A$77K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 11≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

194times
38215times
40200times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,303 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 7 numbers (2, 20, 36, 38, 40) with the draw of 9 October 2022 — its closest relative in 1,303 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 38% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 October 2023): 40 carried over. Chance says 73% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 158. No two numbers side by side. 67% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 76% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,000,020
  • 20≈ 0.59 by chanceA$5,000
  • 39≈ 10 by chanceA$970
  • 5463≈ 585 by chanceA$39.45
  • 79,576≈ 11k by chanceA$11.70
  • 455A$144
  • 61,838A$22.90
  • 823,663A$8.80
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 5 — 463 winners, 21% fewer than the 585 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    11A$2,000,020
    20A$5,000
    39A$970
    455A$144
    5463A$39.45
    61,838A$22.90
    79,576A$11.70
    823,663A$8.80