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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Set for Life · draw

Monday, 4 October 2021

ResultSet for Life

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 14
  5. 17
  6. 22
  7. 43
  8. 18
  9. 28

JackpotA$20,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules7/44 + 2/44 · since Mar 2020draw 561 of 2,407 under them

← 2021-10-03All recent draws2021-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 12 13 14 17 22 43 + 18 2829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd35th
  • low97th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each

279times
1285times
13106times
1489times
17

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 2.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$426.8Kto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 48lines took a prize
  • 10 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • 728%A$120.3K
  • 611%A$45.2K
  • 852%A$223.8K
  • 3 other tiers8.8%A$37.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 10≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

84times
2291times
4396times

Every number was expected about that many times after 560 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 7 numbers (13, 14, 17, 43) with the draw of 7 November 2020 — its closest relative in 560 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2021): 14 carried over. Chance says 73% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 158. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13, 13–14. 67% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 71% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,000,020
  • 20≈ 0.72 by chanceA$5,000
  • 313≈ 13 by chanceA$721
  • 5636≈ 717 by chanceA$30.80
  • 711,739≈ 14k by chanceA$10.25
  • 474A$115
  • 62,348A$19.25
  • 826,173A$8.55
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 7 — 11,739 winners, 16% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    10A$2,000,020
    20A$5,000
    313A$721
    474A$115
    5636A$30.80
    62,348A$19.25
    711,739A$10.25
    826,173A$8.55