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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 October 2023

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 12
  4. 29
  5. 30
  6. 31
  7. 9
  8. 33

JackpotA$20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 773 of 930 under them

← 2023-10-14All recent draws2023-10-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 12 29 30 31 + 9 3329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread27th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each

284times
7101times
12107times
29108times
30

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 91Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$42Mto 1.9M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 48lines took a prize
  • 111 winnerschance said 11

Where the money went

  • 148%A$20M
  • 510%A$4.1M
  • 629%A$12.4M
  • 3 other tiers13%A$5.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 111≈ 11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

103times
31105times

Every number was expected about that many times after 772 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 29, 30, 31) with the draw of 29 February 2020 — its closest relative in 772 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2023): 7 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30, 30–31. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,818,182
  • 32,352≈ 2.6k by chanceA$750
  • 4111,715≈ 124k by chanceA$23.40
  • 2117A$9,958
  • 5275,007A$14.90
  • 61,520,938A$8.15
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈91M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 111,715 winners, 10% fewer than the 124k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    111A$1,818,182
    2117A$9,958
    32,352A$750
    4111,715A$23.40
    5275,007A$14.90
    61,520,938A$8.15