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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 September 2023

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 13
  3. 16
  4. 21
  5. 29
  6. 45
  7. 6
  8. 11

JackpotA$5,160,831

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 769 of 930 under them

← 2023-09-16All recent draws2023-09-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 13 16 21 29 45 + 6 1129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread90th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each

488times
13111times
16116times
2198times
29

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 54Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$17.3Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 52lines took a prize
  • 13 winnerschance said 6.7

Where the money went

  • 130%A$5.2M
  • 513%A$2.2M
  • 639%A$6.8M
  • 3 other tiers18%A$3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 13≈ 6.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

106times
4599times

Every number was expected about that many times after 768 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 13, 29, 45) with the draw of 25 February 2023 — its closest relative in 768 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,720,277
  • 31,131≈ 1.6k by chanceA$855
  • 466,702≈ 74k by chanceA$21.50
  • 270A$9,124
  • 5162,232A$13.85
  • 6806,499A$8.45
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈54M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,131 winners, 28% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    13A$1,720,277
    270A$9,124
    31,131A$855
    466,702A$21.50
    5162,232A$13.85
    6806,499A$8.45