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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 February 2023

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 19
  4. 20
  5. 21
  6. 22
  7. 16
  8. 17

JackpotA$20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 737 of 930 under them

← 2023-02-04All recent draws2023-02-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 19 20 21 22 + 16 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd48th
  • low99th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 98 of each

480times
796times
1994times
2096times
21

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-11

  • Lines in play≈ 120Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$45.3Mto 2.4M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 51lines took a prize
  • 116 winnerschance said 15

Where the money went

  • 144%A$20M
  • 510%A$4.7M
  • 631%A$14.3M
  • 3 other tiers14%A$6.4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 116≈ 15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

94times
22106times

Every number was expected about that many times after 736 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 19, 20, 22) with the draw of 7 January 2017 — its closest relative in 736 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 February 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20, 20–21, 21–22. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 6.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,250,000
  • 33,102≈ 3.4k by chanceA$653
  • 4146,859≈ 163k by chanceA$20.45
  • 2168A$7,966
  • 5344,265A$13.65
  • 61,865,471A$7.65
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈120M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 146,859 winners, 10% fewer than the 163k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    116A$1,250,000
    2168A$7,966
    33,102A$653
    4146,859A$20.45
    5344,265A$13.65
    61,865,471A$7.65