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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 July 2021

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 23
  3. 28
  4. 30
  5. 34
  6. 38
  7. 16
  8. 20

JackpotA$6,049,067

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 654 of 930 under them

← 2021-07-03All recent draws2021-07-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 23 28 30 34 38 + 16 2029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

2293times
2379times
2878times
3087times
34

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-10

  • Lines in play≈ 47Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$18.5Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 46lines took a prize
  • 18 winnerschance said 5.7

Where the money went

  • 133%A$6M
  • 512%A$2.3M
  • 637%A$6.9M
  • 3 other tiers18%A$3.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 18≈ 5.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

86times
3899times

Every number was expected about that many times after 653 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 30, 38) with the draw of 24 October 2020 — its closest relative in 653 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$756,133
  • 31,085≈ 1.3k by chanceA$953
  • 457,065≈ 63k by chanceA$26.85
  • 253A$12,889
  • 5144,728A$15.65
  • 6806,871A$8.55
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈47M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,085 winners, 19% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    18A$756,133
    253A$12,889
    31,085A$953
    457,065A$26.85
    5144,728A$15.65
    6806,871A$8.55