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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 3 October 2020

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 11
  3. 21
  4. 24
  5. 29
  6. 38
  7. 36
  8. 40

JackpotA$4,909,175

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 614 of 931 under them

← 2020-09-26All recent draws2020-10-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 11 21 24 29 38 + 36 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each

368times
1192times
2179times
2486times
29

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 58Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$16.3Mto 513k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 114lines took a prize
  • 14 winnerschance said 7.2

Where the money went

  • 130%A$4.9M
  • 521%A$3.4M
  • 625%A$4M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 14≈ 7.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

88times
3893times

Every number was expected about that many times after 613 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 11, 21, 24) with the draw of 15 February 2020 — its closest relative in 613 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 57% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,227,294
  • 31,479≈ 1.7k by chanceA$905
  • 471,550≈ 80k by chanceA$28.30
  • 269A$8,994
  • 5150,187A$22.60
  • 6289,814A$13.95
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈58M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,479 winners, 12% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    14A$1,227,294
    269A$8,994
    31,479A$905
    471,550A$28.30
    5150,187A$22.60
    6289,814A$13.95