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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 July 2020

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 26
  3. 27
  4. 29
  5. 32
  6. 38
  7. 30
  8. 42

JackpotA$5,137,281

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 602 of 930 under them

← 2020-07-04All recent draws2020-07-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 26 27 29 32 38 + 30 4229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

2283times
2679times
2788times
2985times
32

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-11

  • Lines in play≈ 54Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$17.1Mto 511k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 105lines took a prize
  • 16 winnerschance said 6.6

Where the money went

  • 130%A$5.1M
  • 521%A$3.6M
  • 625%A$4.2M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$4.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 16≈ 6.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

81times
3890times

Every number was expected about that many times after 601 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (22, 27, 32, 38) with the draw of 11 August 2012 — its closest relative in 601 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 57% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 July 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$856,214
  • 31,296≈ 1.5k by chanceA$1,082
  • 465,633≈ 73k by chanceA$32.30
  • 272A$9,029
  • 5154,292A$23.05
  • 6289,485A$14.65
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈54M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,296 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    16A$856,214
    272A$9,029
    31,296A$1,082
    465,633A$32.30
    5154,292A$23.05
    6289,485A$14.65