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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 28 September 2019

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 18
  4. 20
  5. 22
  6. 41
  7. 12
  8. 44

JackpotA$4,005,224

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 561 of 930 under them

← 2019-09-21All recent draws2019-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 18 20 22 41 + 12 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread68th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

463times
1181times
1888times
2074times
22

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 48Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.3Mto 463k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 104lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 5.9

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4M
  • 521%A$3M
  • 627%A$3.8M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 5.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

75times
4175times

Every number was expected about that many times after 560 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (18, 22, 41) with the draw of 13 July 2019 — its closest relative in 560 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,002,612
  • 31,209≈ 1.4k by chanceA$971
  • 459,090≈ 66k by chanceA$30.05
  • 260A$9,065
  • 5141,115A$21.10
  • 6261,068A$14.70
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈48M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,209 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,002,612
    260A$9,065
    31,209A$971
    459,090A$30.05
    5141,115A$21.10
    6261,068A$14.70