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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 August 2018

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 14
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 35
  6. 38
  7. 36
  8. 39

JackpotA$4,004,872

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 501 of 930 under them

← 2018-07-28All recent draws2018-08-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 14 24 25 35 38 + 36 3929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

1273times
1457times
2469times
2565times
35

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-04

  • Lines in play≈ 38Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.3Mto 391k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • 19 winnerschance said 4.7

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4M
  • 521%A$3M
  • 627%A$3.8M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 19≈ 4.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
3869times

Every number was expected about that many times after 500 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 25, 35, 38) with the draw of 25 July 2009 — its closest relative in 500 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$444,986
  • 3954≈ 1.1k by chanceA$1,229
  • 446,999≈ 52k by chanceA$37.75
  • 240A$13,587
  • 5108,094A$27.50
  • 6235,197A$16.30
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈38M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 954 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    19A$444,986
    240A$13,587
    3954A$1,229
    446,999A$37.75
    5108,094A$27.50
    6235,197A$16.30