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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 September 2015

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 17
  3. 21
  4. 29
  5. 38
  6. 42
  7. 11
  8. 27

JackpotA$4,271,236

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 350 of 930 under them

← 2015-09-05All recent draws2015-09-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 17 21 29 38 42 + 11 2729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

1654times
1742times
2141times
2951times
38

Prize breakdown · 2015-09-12

  • Lines in play≈ 41Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.3Mto 600k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 69lines took a prize
  • 16 winnerschance said 5.1

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.3M
  • 521%A$3.2M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 16≈ 5.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

50times
4255times

Every number was expected about that many times after 349 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 17, 29, 38) with the draw of 16 July 2011 — its closest relative in 349 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 39% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 September 2015): 42 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$711,873
  • 3998≈ 1.2k by chanceA$1,254
  • 450,745≈ 56k by chanceA$37.30
  • 248A$12,087
  • 5148,239A$21.40
  • 6399,929A$10.25
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈41M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 998 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    16A$711,873
    248A$12,087
    3998A$1,254
    450,745A$37.30
    5148,239A$21.40
    6399,929A$10.25