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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 April 2015

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 24
  3. 34
  4. 40
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 16
  8. 20

JackpotA$4,201,525

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 327 of 930 under them

← 2015-03-28All recent draws2015-04-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 24 34 40 44 45 + 16 2029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 April 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

159times
2444times
3439times
4049times
44

Prize breakdown · 2015-04-04

  • Lines in play≈ 41Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15Mto 454k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 91lines took a prize
  • 18 winnerschance said 5.1

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.2M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$4M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 18≈ 5.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

34times
4539times

Every number was expected about that many times after 326 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (24, 40, 44) with the draw of 7 March 2015 — its closest relative in 326 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 March 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

188

The numbers add up to 188 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$525,191
  • 3848≈ 1.2k by chanceA$1,449
  • 450,876≈ 57k by chanceA$36.50
  • 255A$10,353
  • 5132,144A$23.60
  • 6270,022A$14.85
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈41M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 848 winners, 29% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    18A$525,191
    255A$10,353
    3848A$1,449
    450,876A$36.50
    5132,144A$23.60
    6270,022A$14.85