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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 March 2015

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 16
  5. 24
  6. 39
  7. 42
  8. 43

JackpotA$4,265,064

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 325 of 930 under them

← 2015-03-14All recent draws2015-03-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 12 16 24 39 + 42 4329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread68th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

238times
1146times
1250times
1648times
24

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-21

  • Lines in play≈ 46Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.2Mto 412k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 111lines took a prize
  • 19 winnerschance said 5.6

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.3M
  • 521%A$3.2M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 19≈ 5.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

43times
3939times

Every number was expected about that many times after 324 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 24, 39) with the draw of 21 February 2015 — its closest relative in 324 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 March 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$473,896
  • 31,080≈ 1.3k by chanceA$1,157
  • 455,947≈ 62k by chanceA$33.80
  • 248A$12,067
  • 5121,394A$26.10
  • 6233,645A$17.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈46M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,080 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    19A$473,896
    248A$12,067
    31,080A$1,157
    455,947A$33.80
    5121,394A$26.10
    6233,645A$17.50