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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 February 2014

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 16
  3. 32
  4. 40
  5. 41
  6. 45
  7. 7
  8. 28

JackpotA$4,105,898

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 266 of 930 under them

← 2014-01-25All recent draws2014-02-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 16 32 40 41 45 + 7 2829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 February 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread51th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

1137times
1638times
3238times
4040times
41

Prize breakdown · 2014-02-01

  • Lines in play≈ 46Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.6Mto 571k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 80lines took a prize
  • 16 winnerschance said 5.6

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.1M
  • 521%A$3M
  • 627%A$3.9M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 16≈ 5.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

41times
4529times

Every number was expected about that many times after 265 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 32, 41) with the draw of 11 May 2013 — its closest relative in 265 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 January 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

185

The numbers add up to 185 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$684,316
  • 3920≈ 1.3k by chanceA$1,305
  • 456,285≈ 63k by chanceA$32.25
  • 242A$13,243
  • 5145,013A$21.00
  • 6369,218A$10.60
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈46M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 920 winners, 30% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    16A$684,316
    242A$13,243
    3920A$1,305
    456,285A$32.25
    5145,013A$21.00
    6369,218A$10.60