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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 May 2013

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 30
  3. 32
  4. 35
  5. 38
  6. 41
  7. 39
  8. 45

JackpotA$21,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 228 of 930 under them

← 2013-05-04All recent draws2013-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 30 32 35 38 41 + 39 4529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap52th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1630times
3034times
3233times
3520times
38

Prize breakdown · 2013-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 114Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$48.1Mto 1.2M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 94lines took a prize
  • 17 winnerschance said 14

Where the money went

  • 144%A$21M
  • 516%A$7.8M
  • 621%A$10.1M
  • 3 other tiers19%A$9.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 17≈ 14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

35times
4136times

Every number was expected about that many times after 227 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 35, 38) with the draw of 16 July 2011 — its closest relative in 227 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 May 2013): 30, 35 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

192

The numbers add up to 192 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 55% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$3,000,000
  • 32,698≈ 3.3k by chanceA$1,145
  • 4139,470≈ 155k by chanceA$33.50
  • 2151A$9,481
  • 5345,863A$22.65
  • 6715,908A$14.10
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈114M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 2,698 winners, 17% fewer than the 3.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    17A$3,000,000
    2151A$9,481
    32,698A$1,145
    4139,470A$33.50
    5345,863A$22.65
    6715,908A$14.10