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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 October 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 19
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 43
  6. 45
  7. 24
  8. 27

JackpotA$22,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 147 of 930 under them

← 2011-10-15All recent draws2011-10-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 19 28 29 43 45 + 24 2729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap52th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread74th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

716times
1921times
2815times
2919times
43

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-22

  • Lines in play≈ 152Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$53.2Mto 1.6M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • 114 winnerschance said 19

Where the money went

  • 141%A$22M
  • 517%A$9M
  • 622%A$11.6M
  • 3 other tiers20%A$10.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 114≈ 19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
4515times

Every number was expected about that many times after 146 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (19, 43, 45) with the draw of 6 June 2009 — its closest relative in 146 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

171

The numbers add up to 171 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,571,429
  • 33,729≈ 4.4k by chanceA$953
  • 4186,635≈ 208k by chanceA$28.80
  • 2195A$8,443
  • 5458,998A$19.65
  • 6921,229A$12.60
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈152M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 3,729 winners, 15% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    114A$1,571,429
    2195A$8,443
    33,729A$953
    4186,635A$28.80
    5458,998A$19.65
    6921,229A$12.60