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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 October 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 19
  2. 25
  3. 30
  4. 38
  5. 42
  6. 44
  7. 4
  8. 20

JackpotA$4,222,633

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 144 of 930 under them

← 2011-09-24All recent draws2011-10-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 25 30 38 42 44 + 4 2029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

1920times
2520times
3016times
3824times
42

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-01

  • Lines in play≈ 44Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.1Mto 539k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 81lines took a prize
  • 14 winnerschance said 5.4

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.2M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 14≈ 5.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
4413times

Every number was expected about that many times after 143 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 25, 38, 42) with the draw of 20 November 2010 — its closest relative in 143 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 18% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 September 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

198

The numbers add up to 198 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,055,658
  • 3966≈ 1.3k by chanceA$1,282
  • 453,725≈ 60k by chanceA$34.85
  • 262A$9,255
  • 5136,417A$23.00
  • 6348,111A$11.65
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈44M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 966 winners, 23% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    14A$1,055,658
    262A$9,255
    3966A$1,282
    453,725A$34.85
    5136,417A$23.00
    6348,111A$11.65