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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 August 2010

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 29
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 21
  8. 25

JackpotA$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 85 of 930 under them

← 2010-08-07All recent draws2010-08-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 12 13 29 31 40 + 21 2529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

74oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread74th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

214times
129times
1318times
2913times
31

Prize breakdown · 2010-08-14

  • Lines in play≈ 52Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.2Mto 233k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 223lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 6.4

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4M
  • 421%A$2.9M
  • 533%A$4.7M
  • 2 other tiers18%A$2.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 6.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
4015times

Every number was expected about that many times after 84 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 12, 40) with the draw of 29 May 2010 — its closest relative in 84 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 August 2010): 40 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,000,000
  • 31,229≈ 1.5k by chanceA$1,375
  • 463,755≈ 71k by chanceA$45.90
  • 244A$20,339
  • 5168,226A$28.05
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈52M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,229 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,000,000
    244A$20,339
    31,229A$1,375
    463,755A$45.90
    5168,226A$28.05