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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 November 2009

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 16
  3. 19
  4. 23
  5. 28
  6. 44
  7. 33
  8. 41

JackpotA$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 47 of 930 under them

← 2009-11-14All recent draws2009-11-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 16 19 23 28 44 + 33 4129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 November 2009 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread85th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

44times
166times
196times
234times
28

Prize breakdown · 2009-11-21

  • Lines in play≈ 54Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$13.8Mto 207k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 262lines took a prize
  • 19 winnerschance said 6.7

Where the money went

  • 129%A$4M
  • 420%A$2.8M
  • 533%A$4.5M
  • 2 other tiers18%A$2.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 19≈ 6.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
445times

Every number was expected about that many times after 46 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (16, 23) with the draw of 24 October 2009 — its closest relative in 46 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 November 2009): 23 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$444,444
  • 31,330≈ 1.6k by chanceA$1,223
  • 466,501≈ 74k by chanceA$42.35
  • 260A$14,351
  • 5138,991A$32.65
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈54M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,330 winners, 15% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    19A$444,444
    260A$14,351
    31,330A$1,223
    466,501A$42.35
    5138,991A$32.65