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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Oz Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 16 July 2024

ResultOz Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 10
  3. 15
  4. 18
  5. 33
  6. 36
  7. 42
  8. 9
  9. 12
  10. 27

JackpotA$40,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules7/47 + 3/47 · since May 2022draw 114 of 231 under them

← 2024-07-09All recent draws2024-07-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 10 15 18 33 36 42 + 9 12 2729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd33th
  • low62th
  • widest gap64th
  • neighbours18th
  • spread76th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

117times
1013times
1514times
1817times
33

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-16

  • Lines in play≈ 36Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$54.1Mto 646k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 55lines took a prize
  • Match 71 winnerchance said 0.57

Where the money went

  • Match 774%A$40M
  • Match 48.6%A$4.7M
  • match_3_b14%A$7.4M
  • 4 other tiers3.6%A$2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 71≈ 0.57 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

18times
3615times
4215times

Every number was expected about that many times after 113 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 7 numbers (1, 15, 33, 36) with the draw of 4 June 2024 — its closest relative in 113 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 48% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 July 2024): 18 carried over. Chance says 70% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 168. No two numbers side by side. 64% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 84% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$40,000,000
  • match_6_b9≈ 12 by chanceA$57,144
  • Match 6137≈ 148 by chanceA$4,437
  • match_5_b1,248≈ 1.4k by chanceA$375
  • Match 57,060≈ 8.0k by chanceA$53.00
  • Match 4172,703≈ 197k by chanceA$27.00
  • match_3_b465,320≈ 506k by chanceA$16.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈36M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 172,703 winners, 12% fewer than the 197k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    match_3_b465,320A$16.00
    Match 4172,703A$27.00
    Match 57,060A$53.00
    match_5_b1,248A$375
    Match 6137A$4,437
    match_6_b9A$57,144
    Match 71A$40,000,000