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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Oz Lotto · draw
ResultOz Lotto
JackpotA$5,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022draw 666 of 697 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.
Oz Lotto was a 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 665 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 665 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 5 of 7 numbers (5, 12, 22, 27, 30) with the draw of 26 May 2020 — its closest relative in 665 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 72% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 144 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 161. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 66% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 64% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 4,301 winners, 5% more than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| match_3_b | 154,479 | A$14.00 |
| Match 4 | 90,006 | A$22.00 |
| Match 5 | 4,301 | A$40.00 |
| match_5_b | 494 | A$298 |
| Match 6 | 86 | A$3,324 |
| match_6_b | 5 | A$27,770 |
| Match 7 | 0 | A$5,000,000 |