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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Oz Lotto · draw
ResultOz Lotto
JackpotA$10,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022draw 190 of 697 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.
Oz Lotto was a 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 189 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 189 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 7 numbers (33, 35, 36) with the draw of 25 October 2011 — its closest relative in 189 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 August 2012): 18 carried over. Chance says 72% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 203 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 161. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33, 35–36. 66% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 91% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 3,842 winners, 9% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| match_3_b | 160,241 | A$16.00 |
| Match 4 | 89,849 | A$25.00 |
| Match 5 | 3,842 | A$51.00 |
| match_5_b | 422 | A$396 |
| Match 6 | 76 | A$4,275 |
| match_6_b | 6 | A$26,303 |
| Match 7 | 0 | A$10,000,000 |