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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Oz Lotto · draw
ResultOz Lotto
JackpotA$2,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022draw 176 of 697 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.
Oz Lotto was a 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 175 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 175 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 7 numbers (7, 10, 19) with the draw of 3 April 2012 — its closest relative in 175 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 May 2012): 17 carried over. Chance says 72% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 150 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 161. No two numbers side by side. 66% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 71% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 2,158 winners, 7% fewer than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| match_3_b | 87,341 | A$14.00 |
| Match 4 | 49,358 | A$22.00 |
| Match 5 | 2,158 | A$44.00 |
| match_5_b | 230 | A$350 |
| Match 6 | 37 | A$4,232 |
| match_6_b | 1 | A$76,062 |
| Match 7 | 0 | A$2,000,000 |