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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Oz Lotto · draw
ResultOz Lotto
JackpotA$20,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022draw 149 of 697 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.
Oz Lotto was a 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 148 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 148 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 7 numbers (1, 3, 15, 21) with the draw of 14 June 2011 — its closest relative in 148 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 November 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 72% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 161. No two numbers side by side. 66% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 62% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_5_b — 1,194 winners, 45% more than the 826 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| match_3_b | 269,353 | A$13.00 |
| Match 4 | 144,274 | A$22.00 |
| Match 5 | 6,358 | A$43.00 |
| match_5_b | 1,194 | A$198 |
| Match 6 | 116 | A$3,963 |
| match_6_b | 11 | A$20,299 |
| Match 7 | 1 | A$20,000,000 |